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Red77
921518.0
387522.4
6827.3
Blue92
49429.8
851729.9
842719.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71832040601001201407792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#9
27.30.8
24.225.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 2.5
29.91.2
27.528.8
Auto12.2
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Second
3875
#27
22.40.8
22.122.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 7.4
494
#11
29.81.2
30.331.6
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Third
9215
#16
18.00.8
19.019.8
Auto7.7
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 1.3
8427
#35
19.31.2
15.817.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed54%Ensemble oddsMissed