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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857502040601001201401606975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#26
29.30.5
27.527.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
blue by 5.5
1701
#14
34.80.4
30.130.5
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Second
8873
#20
29.00.5
24.724.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
blue by 3.2
32.10.4
26.927.3
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Third
9176
#34
24.30.5
23.823.3
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 11.1
6113
#33
13.20.4
11.912.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned