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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898970801001108074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.5
29.228.8
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End6.1
red by 12.0
1481
#21
24.70.4
25.625.2
Auto13.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Second
31.80.5
30.429.9
Auto10.8
Teleop18.4
End2.6
red by 7.3
4381
#32
24.40.4
27.727.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Third
5530
#18
28.00.5
22.221.7
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End3.1
red by 4.2
302
#23
23.80.4
26.526.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed