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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410102040601201401607290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#24
35.00.1
32.132.2
Auto13.5
Teleop20.4
End1.1
red by 2.7
5436
#12
32.30.1
35.135.2
Auto9.6
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Second
1684
#17
21.90.1
20.120.3
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 9.3
31.20.1
29.529.6
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End3.7
Third
8373
#37
19.60.1
18.018.2
Auto7.7
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 1.8
123
#39
21.50.1
23.823.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsMissed