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Red105
750126.0
657021.2
205441.8
Blue79
85819.5
122.8
150633.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898220406010012014016010579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.3
37.538.8
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
red by 7.9
33.90.3
31.331.5
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Second
7501
#25
26.01.3
20.221.5
Auto12.2
Teleop12.3
End1.5
red by 3.2
1
#36
22.80.3
21.721.9
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End2.0
Third
6570
#30
21.21.3
22.423.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End2.3
red by 1.8
858
#22
19.50.3
22.222.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed