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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8565020401001201401604234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.12.2
29.727.5
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End2.1
red by 6.3
7154
#28
25.91.8
21.619.8
Auto11.9
Teleop12.0
End2.0
Second
3688
#31
24.12.2
25.022.9
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 1.8
3536
#15
22.41.8
21.319.5
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Third
9215
#16
18.02.2
19.817.6
Auto7.7
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 1.9
3770
#40
19.91.8
18.616.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed