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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80806070901007168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.1
28.827.7
Auto12.2
Teleop15.0
End2.6
blue by 5.1
2611
#24
35.00.6
32.231.6
Auto13.5
Teleop20.4
End1.1
Second
302
#23
23.81.1
26.125.0
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End3.4
blue by 8.4
32.10.6
27.526.9
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End2.1
Third
9215
#16
18.01.1
17.616.5
Auto7.7
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 4.8
6113
#33
13.20.6
12.311.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed