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Red87
150633.9
28016.4
205441.8
Blue51
917624.3
12321.5
258624.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998240601201401601808751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.0
38.838.8
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
red by 17.0
2586
#29
24.82.1
28.526.4
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Second
33.90.0
31.531.5
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 9.6
9176
#34
24.32.1
23.321.2
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
280
#38
16.40.0
16.916.9
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End2.7
blue by 5.1
123
#39
21.52.1
23.921.8
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsMissed