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Red60
49429.8
377019.9
148124.7
Blue62
657021.2
413032.4
122.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80890501001506062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#11
29.81.0
31.630.5
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
blue by 2.6
4130
#10
32.41.3
34.132.7
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End1.9
Second
1481
#21
24.71.0
25.224.2
Auto13.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
red by 1.8
1
#36
22.81.3
21.920.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End2.0
Third
3770
#40
19.91.0
16.715.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End1.6
blue by 1.3
6570
#30
21.21.3
23.722.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed