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Red102
170134.8
715425.9
553028.0
Blue119
353622.4
357231.8
261135.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8091050150200102119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#14
34.81.9
30.532.4
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
blue by 0.2
2611
#24
35.01.9
31.633.5
Auto13.5
Teleop20.4
End1.1
Second
5530
#18
28.01.9
23.425.3
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End3.1
blue by 3.8
31.81.9
29.931.8
Auto10.8
Teleop18.4
End2.6
Third
7154
#28
25.91.9
19.821.7
Auto11.9
Teleop12.0
End2.0
red by 3.5
3536
#15
22.41.9
19.521.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned