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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions591012040801201401603693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#27
22.41.5
24.623.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 11.5
33.90.5
31.532.0
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Second
8427
#35
19.31.5
17.215.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 12.8
32.10.5
26.927.4
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End2.1
Third
280
#38
16.41.5
16.915.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End2.7
blue by 13.5
29.90.5
27.728.1
Auto12.2
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned