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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568620401001201401606191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7501
#25
26.00.5
19.920.4
Auto12.2
Teleop12.3
End1.5
blue by 6.4
4130
#10
32.41.1
31.933.0
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End1.9
Second
9176
#34
24.30.5
23.724.2
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 3.7
5530
#18
28.01.1
20.121.2
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Third
6113
#33
13.20.5
10.410.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 9.2
3875
#27
22.41.1
22.223.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed