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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89812040601001201401601809787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.1
29.530.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 1.3
5675
#13
32.60.8
27.628.5
Auto10.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
Second
2586
#29
24.81.1
27.228.4
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 4.2
8873
#20
29.00.8
25.826.7
Auto9.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Third
1481
#21
24.71.1
23.024.2
Auto13.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 1.2
7154
#28
25.90.8
21.222.0
Auto11.9
Teleop12.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned