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Red81
354632.1
12321.5
30223.8
Blue82
170134.8
921518.0
49429.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888670801001108182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.1
28.728.9
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
blue by 2.6
1701
#14
34.80.3
29.329.5
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Second
302
#23
23.80.1
26.726.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End3.4
blue by 6.1
494
#11
29.80.3
30.130.3
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Third
123
#39
21.50.1
23.823.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End2.3
red by 3.4
9215
#16
18.00.3
18.819.0
Auto7.7
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
60%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed