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Red97
715425.9
438124.4
750126.0
Blue103
49429.8
354632.1
567627.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions789120406010012014016097103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7501
#25
26.01.7
23.224.9
Auto12.2
Teleop12.3
End1.5
blue by 6.1
32.11.4
27.528.8
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Second
7154
#28
25.91.7
21.723.3
Auto11.9
Teleop12.0
End2.0
blue by 3.9
494
#11
29.81.4
30.531.9
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Third
4381
#32
24.41.7
27.228.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
blue by 3.1
5676
#19
27.51.4
22.624.0
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed67%Ensemble oddsEarned