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Red111
413032.4
148124.7
353622.4
Blue83
357231.8
837319.6
170134.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859420406012014016011183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#10
32.41.5
32.734.3
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End1.9
blue by 2.4
1701
#14
34.80.1
32.432.3
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Second
1481
#21
24.71.5
24.225.7
Auto13.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 7.1
31.80.1
31.831.7
Auto10.8
Teleop18.4
End2.6
Third
3536
#15
22.41.5
21.422.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
red by 2.7
8373
#37
19.60.1
19.919.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed