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Red113
6827.3
258624.8
353932.1
Blue108
887329.0
261135.0
553028.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85954060100120140113108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.12.3
27.429.7
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End2.1
blue by 2.8
2611
#24
35.01.6
33.535.0
Auto13.5
Teleop20.4
End1.1
Second
68
#9
27.32.3
24.927.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 1.6
8873
#20
29.01.6
25.927.5
Auto9.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Third
2586
#29
24.82.3
25.527.8
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 3.2
5530
#18
28.01.6
25.326.9
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned39%Ensemble oddsMissed