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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919070801001101208394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#12
32.30.1
38.538.5
Auto9.6
Teleop19.9
End2.8
red by 0.2
32.10.8
28.829.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Second
5676
#19
27.50.1
24.024.0
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End2.9
blue by 4.2
31.80.8
31.732.5
Auto10.8
Teleop18.4
End2.6
Third
8373
#37
19.60.1
19.819.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 4.7
9176
#34
24.30.8
21.222.0
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsMissed