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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1126205010015010151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#14
34.80.4
32.332.7
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
red by 8.9
7154
#28
25.90.7
23.322.6
Auto11.9
Teleop12.0
End2.0
Second
5675
#13
32.60.4
29.129.5
Auto10.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
red by 11.4
6570
#30
21.20.7
21.220.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Third
4130
#10
32.40.4
34.334.6
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End1.9
red by 14.3
9215
#16
18.00.7
17.516.8
Auto7.7
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed