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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841042040601201401609989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.7
28.128.8
Auto12.2
Teleop15.0
End2.6
blue by 12.0
41.80.8
40.039.2
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
Second
8873
#20
29.00.7
27.528.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
red by 4.6
4381
#32
24.40.8
28.928.0
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Third
3536
#15
22.40.7
22.923.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
red by 2.9
858
#22
19.50.8
22.521.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsEarned