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Red75
377019.9
6827.3
750126.0
Blue78
12321.5
365629.3
148124.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72842040601001201407578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#9
27.30.6
27.327.8
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 1.9
3656
#26
29.30.2
25.926.2
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
Second
7501
#25
26.00.6
24.925.5
Auto12.2
Teleop12.3
End1.5
red by 1.3
1481
#21
24.70.2
25.725.9
Auto13.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
3770
#40
19.90.6
14.515.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End1.6
blue by 1.6
123
#39
21.50.2
22.823.0
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed