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Red92
353932.1
917624.3
553028.0
Blue63
49429.8
168421.9
30223.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8687607080901001101209263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.9
29.730.6
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End2.1
red by 2.3
494
#11
29.81.0
32.931.9
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Second
5530
#18
28.00.9
26.927.7
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End3.1
red by 4.2
302
#23
23.81.0
23.021.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Third
9176
#34
24.30.9
22.022.9
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 2.4
1684
#17
21.91.0
22.621.6
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsEarned83%Ensemble oddsEarned