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Red114
353836.7
354632.1
261135.0
Blue76
657021.2
387522.4
368824.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127205010015011476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.2
31.532.7
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End6.1
red by 12.5
3688
#31
24.10.4
25.826.2
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Second
2611
#24
35.01.2
35.036.2
Auto13.5
Teleop20.4
End1.1
red by 12.6
3875
#27
22.40.4
23.824.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Third
32.11.2
29.630.8
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
red by 10.9
6570
#30
21.20.4
20.520.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed