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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116735010015010486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.1
39.239.1
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
red by 10.1
31.81.0
32.533.5
Auto10.8
Teleop18.4
End2.6
Second
4130
#10
32.40.1
34.634.5
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End1.9
red by 10.9
123
#39
21.51.0
23.024.0
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End2.3
Third
3656
#26
29.30.1
26.226.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
red by 10.0
8427
#35
19.31.0
15.516.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsEarned39%Ensemble oddsMissed