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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577520401001206547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#19
27.50.1
24.024.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End2.9
red by 1.5
7501
#25
26.01.2
25.524.2
Auto12.2
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Second
9215
#16
18.00.1
16.816.8
Auto7.7
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 6.6
1481
#21
24.71.2
25.924.7
Auto13.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
6113
#33
13.20.1
13.213.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 3.1
280
#38
16.41.2
14.213.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed