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Red86
553028.0
377019.9
438124.4
Blue112
543632.3
150633.9
657021.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410620406012014016086112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#18
28.01.0
27.728.8
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End3.1
blue by 6.0
33.91.0
32.731.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Second
4381
#32
24.41.0
28.029.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
blue by 7.9
5436
#12
32.31.0
38.537.5
Auto9.6
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Third
3770
#40
19.91.0
15.016.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End1.6
blue by 1.3
6570
#30
21.21.0
20.919.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsEarned