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Red69
387522.4
122.8
353932.1
Blue95
917624.3
353836.7
6827.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809340601001201406995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.4
30.630.3
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End2.1
blue by 4.5
36.70.7
32.732.1
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End6.1
Second
1
#36
22.80.4
19.519.1
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End2.0
blue by 4.5
68
#9
27.30.7
27.426.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Third
3875
#27
22.40.4
24.223.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 1.9
9176
#34
24.30.7
22.922.2
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsEarned