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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751072040601001201401607078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#14
34.80.1
33.333.2
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
blue by 7.1
41.81.0
39.138.1
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
Second
302
#23
23.80.1
21.921.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End3.4
blue by 7.5
31.21.0
31.430.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End3.7
Third
8427
#35
19.30.1
16.516.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 6.6
7154
#28
25.91.0
22.621.6
Auto11.9
Teleop12.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned