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Red91
357231.8
85819.5
49429.8
Blue79
368824.1
851729.9
258624.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97910501502002503009179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.3
33.533.8
Auto10.8
Teleop18.4
End2.6
red by 1.9
29.90.3
28.828.6
Auto12.2
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Second
494
#11
29.80.3
31.932.1
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
red by 5.0
2586
#29
24.80.3
27.927.6
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Third
858
#22
19.50.3
21.621.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
blue by 4.7
3688
#31
24.10.3
26.225.9
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed