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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8154020401001201407860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8873
#20
29.00.5
28.228.7
Auto9.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
red by 9.1
3770
#40
19.90.5
16.116.6
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Second
4381
#32
24.40.5
29.129.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
red by 4.8
8373
#37
19.60.5
19.419.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Third
280
#38
16.40.5
13.013.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End2.7
blue by 1.7
9215
#16
18.00.5
16.817.3
Auto7.7
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned