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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66733040506080901001107578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9176
#34
24.31.0
22.223.2
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 1.6
7154
#28
25.90.7
21.622.3
Auto11.9
Teleop12.0
End2.0
Second
302
#23
23.81.0
21.822.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End3.4
red by 1.4
3875
#27
22.40.7
23.824.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Third
3770
#40
19.91.0
16.617.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End1.6
red by 0.3
8373
#37
19.60.7
19.920.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed