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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938640601001201401607590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.5
33.833.3
Auto10.8
Teleop18.4
End2.6
blue by 10.1
41.80.8
38.138.9
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
Second
4381
#32
24.40.5
29.629.0
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
blue by 8.2
5675
#13
32.60.8
27.928.7
Auto10.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
Third
6570
#30
21.20.5
19.919.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End2.3
red by 8.0
6113
#33
13.20.8
12.413.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned43%Ensemble oddsMissed