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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92802040601001201401606874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.9
31.030.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
red by 2.3
29.90.0
28.628.6
Auto12.2
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Second
2586
#29
24.80.9
27.626.7
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 1.2
7501
#25
26.00.0
24.424.4
Auto12.2
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Third
3536
#15
22.40.9
23.122.2
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
red by 0.5
1684
#17
21.90.0
20.520.6
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsMissed