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Red101
543632.3
49429.8
353932.1
Blue88
170134.8
28016.4
365629.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11575406010014016018010188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#12
32.30.1
36.536.7
Auto9.6
Teleop19.9
End2.8
blue by 2.4
1701
#14
34.80.7
33.233.9
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Second
32.10.1
30.330.4
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End2.1
red by 2.9
3656
#26
29.30.7
26.126.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
Third
494
#11
29.80.1
32.132.3
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
red by 13.4
280
#38
16.40.7
13.514.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
78%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsEarned