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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions788240506070901001101209493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#13
32.61.5
28.730.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
red by 3.3
3656
#26
29.31.3
26.828.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
Second
302
#23
23.81.5
22.824.3
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End3.4
blue by 2.3
7501
#25
26.01.3
24.425.7
Auto12.2
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Third
6570
#30
21.21.5
19.320.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End2.3
blue by 1.2
3536
#15
22.41.3
22.223.5
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned