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Red77
543632.3
85819.5
170134.8
Blue72
261135.0
387522.4
49429.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110180901101207772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#14
34.81.1
33.932.8
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
blue by 0.2
2611
#24
35.01.3
34.433.1
Auto13.5
Teleop20.4
End1.1
Second
5436
#12
32.31.1
36.735.6
Auto9.6
Teleop19.9
End2.8
red by 2.5
494
#11
29.81.3
32.331.0
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Third
858
#22
19.51.1
21.019.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
blue by 2.9
3875
#27
22.41.3
24.523.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsEarned