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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99904060801201405697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#10
32.42.2
33.331.2
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End1.9
blue by 9.4
41.80.6
38.939.5
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
Second
4381
#32
24.42.2
29.026.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
red by 0.1
9176
#34
24.30.6
23.223.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
3688
#31
24.12.2
25.923.8
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 2.2
1684
#17
21.90.6
20.621.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed76%Ensemble oddsMissed