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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811042040601201401605994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#11
29.81.1
31.029.9
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
blue by 12.0
41.80.2
39.539.7
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
Second
3536
#15
22.41.1
23.522.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 12.6
2611
#24
35.00.2
33.133.3
Auto13.5
Teleop20.4
End1.1
Third
8373
#37
19.61.1
21.120.0
Auto7.7
Teleop8.9
End3.0
red by 0.3
8427
#35
19.30.2
18.518.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
74%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed