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Red77
168421.9
6827.3
365629.3
Blue75
917624.3
148124.7
170134.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8491506070801001101201307775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#26
29.30.0
28.128.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
blue by 5.5
1701
#14
34.80.4
32.832.3
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Second
68
#9
27.30.0
27.927.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.3
red by 2.7
1481
#21
24.70.4
24.924.4
Auto13.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
1684
#17
21.90.0
21.221.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 2.4
9176
#34
24.30.4
23.823.4
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed