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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988040601201407854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.6
29.929.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End3.7
red by 2.2
8873
#20
29.01.3
30.629.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Second
29.90.6
29.128.5
Auto12.2
Teleop15.0
End2.6
red by 8.4
123
#39
21.51.3
22.721.4
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End2.3
Third
5676
#19
27.50.6
27.627.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End2.9
red by 6.3
6570
#30
21.21.3
20.919.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsEarned45%Ensemble oddsMissed