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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89886070801001107695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.3
34.233.9
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End6.1
red by 2.7
33.90.6
32.833.5
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Second
7501
#25
26.00.3
25.725.5
Auto12.2
Teleop12.3
End1.5
blue by 5.7
31.80.6
30.531.2
Auto10.8
Teleop18.4
End2.6
Third
858
#22
19.50.3
19.919.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 1.4
9215
#16
18.00.6
17.117.8
Auto7.7
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned72%Ensemble oddsEarned