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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7168204060801004491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#32
24.41.3
26.925.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
blue by 1.5
7154
#28
25.91.9
23.325.3
Auto11.9
Teleop12.0
End2.0
Second
3875
#27
22.41.3
23.321.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 2.4
2586
#29
24.81.9
24.025.9
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Third
6113
#33
13.21.3
13.612.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 3.1
280
#38
16.41.9
14.716.6
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned