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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7099204060801201401607987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#21
24.70.7
24.425.1
Auto13.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 7.6
5436
#12
32.30.0
32.932.9
Auto9.6
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Second
3688
#31
24.10.7
23.824.5
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 4.9
8873
#20
29.00.0
29.329.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Third
8427
#35
19.30.7
18.719.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 4.4
302
#23
23.80.0
24.324.4
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned45%Ensemble oddsEarned