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Red106
657021.2
851729.9
170134.8
Blue104
261135.0
917624.3
150633.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87102406080120140106104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#14
34.81.7
32.334.0
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
blue by 0.2
2611
#24
35.00.9
33.334.2
Auto13.5
Teleop20.4
End1.1
Second
29.91.7
28.530.2
Auto12.2
Teleop15.0
End2.6
blue by 4.1
33.90.9
33.534.4
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Third
6570
#30
21.21.7
19.521.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End2.3
blue by 3.1
9176
#34
24.30.9
23.424.3
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed67%Ensemble oddsMissed