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Red106
261135.0
354632.1
567532.6
Blue113
205441.8
168421.9
353836.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111106050150200250300350400106113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#24
35.00.1
34.935.0
Auto13.5
Teleop20.4
End1.1
blue by 6.9
41.80.4
40.440.8
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
Second
5675
#13
32.60.1
32.532.6
Auto10.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
blue by 4.0
36.70.4
35.235.6
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End6.1
Third
32.10.1
32.032.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
red by 10.2
1684
#17
21.90.4
20.520.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1