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Red82
851729.9
357231.8
887329.0
Blue108
205441.8
168421.9
353836.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101108608012014016082108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.5
32.231.8
Auto10.8
Teleop18.4
End2.6
blue by 10.1
41.80.2
40.841.0
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
Second
29.90.5
30.429.9
Auto12.2
Teleop15.0
End2.6
blue by 6.8
36.70.2
35.635.8
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End6.1
Third
8873
#20
29.00.5
29.529.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
red by 7.1
1684
#17
21.90.2
20.821.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1