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Red73
86226.7
360328.9
716622.1
Blue85
171834.2
661819.9
10723.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848140601001207385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#23
28.90.2
26.226.0
Auto12.3
Teleop15.3
End1.3
blue by 5.3
1718
#15
34.20.4
29.630.0
Auto12.6
Teleop19.3
End2.3
Second
862
#21
26.70.2
31.831.6
Auto7.6
Teleop17.4
End1.7
red by 3.2
107
#19
23.40.4
21.321.7
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Third
7166
#12
22.10.2
17.517.3
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
red by 2.2
6618
#36
19.90.4
22.823.2
Auto10.1
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed