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Red94
207542.5
553424.6
89425.0
Blue69
262023.3
931233.7
778224.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98772040601201401609469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.5
38.539.0
Auto13.8
Teleop24.0
End4.8
red by 8.8
33.70.2
29.429.2
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Second
894
#16
25.00.5
25.325.8
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End2.4
red by 1.0
7782
#22
24.10.2
19.118.9
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Third
24.60.5
22.423.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End2.8
red by 1.3
2620
#26
23.30.2
23.523.3
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed