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Red51
920824.5
214529.3
150216.6
Blue83
86226.7
118933.7
20118.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6789204060801001201405183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#17
29.30.8
22.421.6
Auto10.1
Teleop16.8
End2.4
blue by 4.4
1189
#13
33.70.3
31.230.9
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Second
9208
#30
24.50.8
22.922.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End3.1
blue by 2.2
862
#21
26.70.3
31.631.3
Auto7.6
Teleop17.4
End1.7
Third
1502
#39
16.60.8
17.716.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End0.8
blue by 1.9
201
#33
18.60.3
14.814.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned