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Red118
207542.5
564111.5
276744.1
Blue91
171834.2
612125.3
654824.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10882406010012014016018011891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.4
41.442.8
Auto16.2
Teleop21.9
End5.9
red by 9.9
1718
#15
34.20.9
30.031.0
Auto12.6
Teleop19.3
End2.3
Second
42.51.4
39.040.4
Auto13.8
Teleop24.0
End4.8
red by 17.2
6121
#24
25.30.9
23.524.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.7
End2.9
Third
5641
#40
11.51.4
14.215.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 12.6
6548
#10
24.10.9
23.724.7
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed